A recent Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by seven points in the presidential race, while a Quinnipiac poll places Trump narrowly ahead. Pollster Tim Malloy notes a slight shift in enthusiasm for Harris compared to previous months. Additionally, a North Carolina AARP poll shows Trump leading Harris by two points.
Pollster Dan Pfeiffer emphasizes the inexact nature of polling and notes that polls reflect the present, not the future. He recommends focusing on polling averages to get a more accurate picture. Harris is making strides with Asian-American voters, which could impact key congressional races.
With the election drawing near, polls are showing varying results, prompting concerns about accuracy. Democrats fear Trump may be undercounted in some polls. CNN polls indicate Harris leading among younger voters, but by a tighter margin than in 2020.
Various polls in key Senate and House races indicate close contests. Pollster Adam Serwer discusses Trump’s strategy of stoking racial tensions to energize his base. Nate Cohn suggests Harris may need to win the popular vote by a smaller margin than in 2020 to secure victory.
A report by Axios discusses Harris’s efforts to attract Republican voters in rural Pennsylvania, while concerns arise over the influx of outside money into key Senate races. Trump’s inconsistent stance on early voting in Pennsylvania has raised eyebrows.
Democratic strategist James Carville predicts a Harris victory in November, despite close polling. Concerns about Trump’s ground game and unconventional strategies are being raised among Republicans, especially concerning his reliance on allies like Elon Musk.
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