A recent Echelon Insights poll shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump 52% to 45% in a head-to-head race, with Harris winning the debate by a margin of 61% to 33%. Bloomberg/Morning Consult polls also reveal that Harris has neutralized Trump’s economic advantage in battleground states like Arizona, Michigan, and Nevada. Gallup measures favor the Republican Party over the Democratic Party, but historical evidence suggests presidential polls are often wrong.
The Congressional Leadership Fund allocates $15 million for TV ad reservations in House races, including $2.6 million for the 1st and 3rd districts of Iowa. In the 3rd District, Democratic candidate Lanon Baccam leads Republican Rep. Zach Nunn, creating a tight battle. In the 1st District, Democrat Christina Bohannan is challenging Republican Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks in what could be a competitive race.
New York City Mayor Eric Adams faces federal indictment for allegedly receiving illegal campaign donations and pressuring the Fire Department in criminal conspiracy. Meanwhile, the Utah Supreme Court upholds a ruling voiding a Republican-backed amendment allowing lawmakers to repeal citizen-sponsored initiatives, ensuring a 2018 anti-gerrymandering measure takes effect.
In California, the NRCC launches attack ads against Democratic Rep. Josh Harder, targeting his finances and Cayman Islands assets. In Las Vegas, former Rep. Shelley Berkley vies to become the city’s first Democratic mayor in over a decade. Democrat Janelle Bynum leads in Oregon’s 5th District, a crucial pickup target for Democrats. Ohio Works campaigns against a proposed amendment to end partisan gerrymandering, using conspiracy theories to attack the initiative.
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