A recent New York Post poll and Morning Consult poll both show Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump nationally among likely voters. Despite being ahead in the House and Presidential elections, Democrats are facing a tougher battle in the Senate with more favorable odds for Republicans. Polls in various key battleground states like Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona also show a close race between Harris and Trump. Reports suggest that Rasmussen Reports may be giving Trump’s campaign previews of poll results before they are made public.
The race between Harris and Trump may come down to Nebraska’s Second Congressional District, which has one electoral vote up for grabs. Recent voter registration spikes nationwide are expected to influence the election’s outcome. House spending by Republican groups has exceeded Democratic spending for the first time this cycle, although Democrats still have an overall advantage in spending. In the Senate, the pro-GOP super PAC Senate Leadership Fund has made significant ad reservations in key Senate races.
In Texas, Senator Ted Cruz is portraying himself as bipartisan amid a tight re-election race. The Cook Political Report has shifted its rating for the Texas Senate race to Lean Republican due to increased Democratic investment. Meanwhile, in Nebraska, independent candidate Dan Osborn is shaking up the Senate race against incumbent Sen. Deb Fischer. Pro-Democratic groups are investing heavily in Maryland’s Senate race, where Angela Alsobrooks leads in polling against Republican opponent Larry Hogan. Kamala Harris continues to focus on healthcare in her ad campaign against Trump.
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